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Early warning indicators 










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    Corporate general interest
    Developing an indicator of price anomalies as an early warning tool: A compound growth approach 2017
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    The food price surge in global markets in 2007-2008 and then again in 2011, has spurred a lot of interest in creating an early warning indicator to detect abnormal growth in prices in consumer markets in the developing world, where advance warning of an impending food crisis can be critical. In these countries, on an early warning basis, sometimes market prices are the only source of information available to assess the severity of a local shock to either access or availability of food. Because p rices summarize information held by a large number of economic agents, including their expectations regarding likely short-term developments in supply and demand, they are ideal to use as the basis of an early warning indicator. The objective of this paper is to present the methodology for an indicator of price anomalies recently developed by the Global Information Early Warning System of FAO that can be used to identify abnormal price changes. The FAO/GIEWS indicator of price anomalies (IPA) re lies on a weighted compound growth rate that accounts for both within year and across year price growth. The main advantage of the IPA is its’ simplicity. It can be used in different markets without concern as to whether or not the market year has been well defined. The indicator directly evaluates growth in prices over a particular month over many years, which allows one to answer the question of whether or not a small change in price is normal for any particular period.
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    Technical book
    Community-based fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda) monitoring, early warning and management
    Training of trainers manual
    2019
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    Fall Armyworm (FAW) (Spodoptera frugiperda) was first reported in Africa in 2016. Since then, it has become a very destructive invasive pest in sub-Saharan Africa. Its main impact is on maize crops and affects different stages of growth, from early vegetative to physiological maturity. In several countries affected by FAW attack, farmer responses have been predominantly based on the use of chemical pesticides. It is important to ensure the safe use of such pesticides by farmers, but also to promote and deploy an integrated pest management (IPM) package against FAW. Farmers need the right advice, tools and resources to sustainably manage FAW. This manual provides farmers and extension service providers easy-to-use information on how they can manage FAW in smallholder cropping systems. It provides information about modules for training trainers in FAW pest diagnostics, scouting, management and data collection. The objective of this training is to provide trainers and farmers with the knowledge and skills that will enable them to identify FAW and differentiate it from other similar pests; understand the life cycle of FAW; and, know how to monitor and manage the pest. This manual gives trainers the information they need in order to support and sustain an IPM approach for FAW management in their communities. The manual is modular and allows for updates in the future as more knowledge and solutions to manage FAW become available.
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    Factsheet
    Enhancing E-Agriculture Structures and Mechanisms for Extension, Surveillance and Early Warnings - TCP/GHA/3801 2024
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    Over the years, Ghana has implemented many broad agricultural and subsector-specific policies and programmes, including the Food and Agricultural Sector Development Policy (FASDEP I and II) and Investing for Food and Jobs (IFJ), purposely to promote and enhance a sustainable agricultural sector. The process of achieving this objective can be facilitated by developing a digital agricultural policy. While still at the embryonic stage, innovative initiatives in using Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) to promote agriculture to make it attractive are underway across the country. Currently, the government is deploying, with support from the private sector, ICT solutions including devices, networks, mobiles and software applications for implementation of its programmes.

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